Looking to get the day off to a good start, and what better way than in a race profile where the favourites only have a 26% win strike rate. Hard to factor in the rain that may come, so sticking with the data. Interesting statistics in this race for the fillies, where the most of the higher rated horses settle at the rear, where you think it would be a disadvantage. Very interesting KPIs for the likely leader in Zourisky. Moody is well and truely back, and McDougall is 52% to place when leading at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Should get an easy lead, and could simply run too good a time to be caught. Another interesting runner is Schiller Effect who equally has strong ratings for the rider in this type of race. Not going to ignore the numbers here, and sticking with a leader at the Valley in Zourisky to hold out a fast finishing Schiller Effect.
Good Luck
Westy
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POSITION IN RUN MAP
RUNNER COMMENTRY
| NO | NAME | COMMENT |
| 1 | Throntari | Has an advantage of racing here before, and should get a nice spot mid field. Decent turn of foot, and should have every chance to run well. |
| 2 | Russians | Have to respect the stable and rider, but rising in trip first time at the Valley is a tough ask. |
| 3 | Zourisky | Should lead and Moody rates very well in these races. McDougall is 52% to place when leading at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT), and the horse looks to get a relatively soft lead. Can grind out a time, and the data suggests she will be hard to catch up front. |
| 4 | Cherrypick | Rates well last start without returning, and has the top turn of foot in the race. Should get a nice trail from the stablemate, and will be interesting to see how she handles the rise in trip. Wouldn’t be surprised if she flies home and knocks a few out. |
| 5 | Indented Head | Stokesy can pull a rabbit every now and then, and this filly looks suited at this trip. If she can stay up there early, she will be every chance. Just might get a bit quick for her later in the race on the numbers. |
| 6 | Rioyuki | Bit of an awkward draw and the danger is being pinned back on the fence. Still, can fly home with a strong turn of foot, but will just need luck if she shuffles back out of the gate. |
| 7 | Batiki | Not a heap of data support for this girl. Looks like she will struggle to keep up in the middle stages of the race. |
| 8 | Schiller Effect | Will fall out the back early, but Cartwright actually rates top in this race. The data suggests that this filly will make an early charge for the line and could make it a race early. Value. |