Reasonable field quality for a mile on winter’s day at the Heath. No real fight for the lead between the fillies and mares, and a number of chances look to have drawn OK and should have every chance in the run. Focusing in on four runners in particular in White Hibiscus, Maid of Iron, Brazen Song and Princess Rhaenys. Narrowing down on two jockeys specifically in Damien Thornton and Matt Cartwright. Thornton rides White Hibiscus and is 39% to place when mid field in middle distance races on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). She has the top turn of foot in the race, and ran very well last start. Stables rates well in this race, and think she will be motoring home late and will be hard to hold out. Cartwight is aboard Brazen Song and is 38% chance to place when leading over middle distance races on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). She looks the leader, and a nice price to control the race and be hard to nab up front. Sticking with White Hibiscus to catch them all and be too strong late.
Good Luck
Westy
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POSITION IN RUN MAP
RUNNER COMMENTRY
| NO | NAME | COMMENT |
| 1 | Medieval Miss | Should get out of the gate OK, and can be prominent to the turn. Reasonable enough turn of foot, and could hang in there for a bit at odds. |
| 2 | Mimi’s Award | Had big wraps on this mare in the past, but last start was a bit surprising. Drop in grade here and the stable does rate on top for these races. Data suggests she would need a heap of improvement on her last run. |
| 3 | Brazen Song | Looks the obvious leader from the draw, and she has done well here at the mile before. Will need to control the race to be a chance in the later stages, and Matt Cartwright is 38% chance to place when leading over middle distance races on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Value. |
| 4 | White Hibiscus | Well rated rider and stable. Should land midfield from the draw, and Thornton is 39% to place when mid field in middle distance races on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Strongest turn of foot in the race, very consistent miler, huge chance. |
| 5 | Maid Of Iron | Solid performer but the draw makes it a bit tricky with her gate speed. Can grind out an even time, and McNeil rates well in this race. Danger is getting pinned on the fence and needing luck in the later stages. Still, should be there abouts. |
| 6 | Princess Rhaenys | Have to respect her effort in the Vinery Stud, and can pump an even time. McDougall rates on top in this race, but on her last run the danger is that she gets too far back and doesn’t get a chance. Expect to see her in the finish, but needs a strong approach to the turn. |
| 7 | Deny Knowledge | Should land on pace, but the data suggests that she will find the middle stages of the race tough. Has this ability no doubt, but looks like this race may not suit. |
| 8 | Starring Role | Racing OK earlier this prep, but last few starts have been tough for her. Decent turn of foot, and can get a good run in transit. If she can recapture earlier form she can run well here. |
| 9 | Aberlady | Interesting stats in that most of her recent runs have been over distance. Looks to drop out the back with no speed at all, but can grind out a pretty decent speed to get into the race late. You can’t imagine her featuring, but she does have some data support. |
| 10 | Swindon Lass | Big ask first up, but rarely puts in a bad run. Reasonable turn of foot, and can hang up the front in transit. Just not sure about the fitness in the later stages of the race. Will have to burn it early from the draw. |
| 11 | She Zed So | Big jump in class here, and not much data support at all. Hope the owners have a good day. |