Feels like Spring with the first day of quality racing at Caulfield. Nice looking mile for Race 2 with three runners in particular looking stronger than this field. No real pace predicted, and there should be no excuses for the midfielders to get out and make a good run home. Ballet Master, Hi Stranger and No Effort all rate well in this race, with their riders all around the 30% strike rate to place on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Big fan of Hi Stranger after getting it done easily at the Valley last start, and No Effort was the eye catcher in that same race. But really like the look of Ballet Master at the weights and the draw. He loves Caulfield, and Theo will be able to pick where he runs and finish the race hard. No Effort and Hi Stranger are the obvious dangers, but can’t ignore how the race might pan out for Ballet Master.
Good Luck
Westy
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POSITION IN RUN MAP
RUNNER COMMENTRY
NO | NAME | COMMENT |
1 | Inverloch | Reliable performer coming back from high class target races. Looks like a leader but hard to know how he is racing at this stage of his prep. The data suggests that he will be swallowed up late. But every chance up on pace. |
2 | Dark Dream | Looks to take up the running with Inverloch, and have an OK transit through the race. Data suggests it might get a bit tough from there and the race quickens for the finish. |
3 | Rostropovich | Not great results of late, but does pump out OK times over the mile. Not a great Caulfield record though, and looks like a big ask of him first up. |
4 | Hi Stranger | Was great last start and no reason to think he can’t do it again in this race. Should get a nice transit, and Thornton at 16.3% to win when mid field over a mile. Surely in the finish. |
5 | No Effort | May look to lead and risks being posted. Top turn of foot and very strong last start behind Hi Stranger. Probably better suited to Caulfield, and Richards is 15.8% to win when leading over a mile. Should be in the finish also. |
6 | Barade | Bit of an ask first up, and will fall out the back early. Looks like he will need it further, and won’t have the acceleration needed to fare here. |
7 | Ballet Master | Very strong runner here made more interesting by a good draw. Theo rates on top of all riders here, and the old boy looks to hit his straps late in the race. Great chance. |