Great day of racing across the country, and what better way to kick it all off with a quality sprint race at Caulfield. Hard to know if there will be any rain, and you would expect there to be some sort of bias for the on-pacers. But with a few looking to lead early in a smaller field, you could expect to see every horse to get their chance. Like the look of a few midfielders that are better performed at this level in William Thomas and Pandemic. William Thomas needed a freshen up, and his best is very competitive here. Just needs some sort of pace in the race to have some space to fly on at decent odds. Pandemic might try to get a bit closer, and can finish the race very well. Williams at 30.4% to place on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT) when steering through the field later in a race. Athiri the other interesting runner to sit off the lead leader and make an early run for home, and might just be too strong to catch. Oliver 45.4% to place on the JAT. Sticking with William Thomas at the odds.
Good Luck
Westy
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POSITION IN RUN MAP
RUNNER COMMENTRY
NO | NAME | COMMENT |
1 | Prezado | Class horse of the race, but just not sure on his last run that settling at the rear will work well in this race. Lane is 42.4% to place on the JAT, so not without hope to finish the race strongly. |
2 | Athiri | Drawn well with good early speed, and Oliver is 45.4% to place in these races on the JAT. Not the strongest turn of foot, and might just need the run. Still, expect to see her in the finish. |
3 | William Thomas | This is his trip, and expect to see him back better after a freshen up. His best is very competitive here, and he might get back in the field which might not help. Still, expect him to hold a good spot in transit and run on well. Value runner of the race. |
4 | Pandemic | Bit of an awkward draw, but might take a trail from Wisdom of Water from out wide. Very strong turn of foot, and Williams is 30.4% to place when from the rear on the JAT. Goes well first up, can see this guy rattling home late. |
5 | Wisdom Of Water | Unfortunate draw for an on pacer. But decent run last start and will get more room at this track. Looks to run and even time to the line, can’t see him out of the finish. |
6 | Chicago Cub | Will have every chance up on the speed, and well weighted to hold on deep into the race. Just not sure he will be able to hold out this field later in the race. |
7 | He’s A Balter | Hard to knock winning form, but a big rise in class here. Expect to see him flying home late, but might have a bit too much work to do to keep up early. |
8 | Ocean Beyond | Looks the leader from the draw, but a big step up in class. Will need it very easy up front to be a chance to podium. |