Distance race for the 3YOs provides a smaller field, and this year 37% of favourites have won distance races at Caulfield (41% strike rate last year). No real pace in the race, and expecting to see the better chances in the front half of the field. Can’t find any reasons why the Duke of Hastings can produce again this week after a soul crushing rails victory last start. Drawn well to rail a nice lead, and Coffey rates in the top 3 riders. The next two down the page look strong in Calmsir and Forest Diamond, who have drawn to sit behind Duke of Hastings, and will have their crack at him. The runner sticking out at odds is Turin, who with Meech on board is 42% to place when up front at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). The filly has a strong run of foot, and if ridden well is a big chance to chime in late. Sticking with Duke of Hastings.
Top 4
- Duke of Hastings
- Calmsir
- Forest Diamond
- Turin
Good Luck
Westy
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POSITION IN RUN MAP
RUNNER COMMENTRY
| NO | NAME | COMMENT |
| 1 | Duke Of Hastings | What a win last start, and no reason to think he can’t produce a good run again. Drawn well to get a soft lead, and might be able to pump a better time than this field. Rise in trip could be a bonus, big chance. |
| 2 | Calmsir | Looks like he will shuffle back, but has motored home on his past few starts. Bit of a rise in weight, but rarely puts in a bad run. Expect to see him on the podium. |
| 3 | Forest Diamond | Another runner that will get back, but she certainly has no issue with the trip. Strong turn of foot, and expect to see her finishing well. Just not sure if she has the acceleration to catch the leaders. Time will tell. |
| 4 | Shadow Hawk | Racing well and will enjoy the weight relief you would think. Just a bit of an awkward draw to fall back on the fence. Will need luck late in the race from there. |
| 5 | Sing For Peace | Top rated rider and top rated stable, but a big jump in class and trip. Can run a good time, but would be a big effort to jump this field from the rear. |
| 6 | Turin | Should be prominent early, and Meech is 42% to place when leading at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Top turn of foot in the race. Can hang in there at a price. Value. |
| 7 | Bad Boy Bobby | Unfortunate draw as he possibly would have had a chance up on speed from a better draw. No real data support apart from being able to grind a consistent time. |
| 8 | Cheeky Fox | Not much data support for this filly, hope the team enjoyed the trip over. |
| 9 | Kintsugi Belle | Another runner that appears to struggle in the KPIs. Hope she puts in a good run. |