Quality distance race for Race 6 at Caulfield, and two runners (Hypnos and Yonkers) in particular look well suited to make moves from midfield off a soft pace. Some value can be found using the statfreaks JAT (Jockey Analysis Tool) with M.Cartwright’s ride on “Last Week”, with a historical win & place strike rate of %16/%44.5 when settled at the back of the field in staying type races. Yonkers has been very impressive in previous runs, and can’t find a reason why today will be any different. Hypnos is another runner that is deep into his prep and should get an ideal transit, and his last start was probably stronger than it looked. Another Dollar posts some solid numbers, but leaning towards Hypnos at the odds.
Good Luck
Westy
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POSITION IN RUN MAP
RUNNER COMMENTRY
NO | NAME | COMMENT |
1 | Another Dollar | Looks to take up the running at the rear, and usually placed well by the stable for these races. Good turn of foot and should be there when it matters. |
2 | Pacodali | Lane rates highly in this race, and the old boy can rattle home. Just not sure about this grade on a softer track. |
3 | Hypnos | Looks to get into a good spot, and Micky Dee looks solid on the JAT from mid field. Consistent over this trip, should see out the race well. |
4 | Yonkers | Racing well this prep looks well suited to this race. Thornton rates very well in the JAT and rates well for Waller. Surely in the finish. |
5 | Bedford | No early pace and from the draw that might cause some problems. Can fly home well but without a lot of pace in the race he will need to make an early move. |
6 | Significance | Looks to get out OK and land in an OK spot. Data suggests he can punch out an even time and is a sneaky chance to see out the race well. |
7 | Last Week | Well weighted and should be fitter for this. Looks like he will find it tough early and need luck to work his way into the race late. |
8 | Midterm | Goes well over this trip, not sure about the grade and finishing well at this track. |
9 | Tolemac | Could take up the running early, and might show something at the top of the straight. Might be tough from there though. |