Huge day of racing, and what better way to begin the day than with the Hotham. Form lines are all over the shop leading into this race, and the stand out in Great House likely bypass this for the Cup (you would hope). Focusing on runners that are likely to run, and probably the only chances to take it up to the Waller runner in Mankayan and Le Don De Vie at odds. Mankayan looks to get a lovely run with cover, and will have all the space to peel out at the top of the straight and finish very well at the weights. The eye catching stats are for Le Don De Vie. Certainly not disgraced in the Geelong Cup, and maps to sit one out one back. Where’s Ollie is 36% to place from mid field at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT) and has produced a great run 4th up two preps back. Both might be advantaged by a few looking to lead the race early and creating some sort of pace. Great House is the class of the race, otherwise liking Le Don De Vie at the odds from Mankayan.

Good Luck

Westy

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POSITION IN RUN MAP

Click here to enlarge a speed map for Flemington Race 2 Speed Map Statfreaks 2021 30th of October 2021

RUNNER COMMENTRY

NO NAME COMMENT
1 Mirage Dancer Love the old boy, and not without a chance. Will get back, but has a good turn of foot. Good trip for him, and expect to see him finishing the race well.
2 Knights Order Looks the leader, and can pump a good time. Not sure about his last start, might find this tougher. Might just find it a bit tough late.
3 Le Don De Vie Top stable, and Ollie is 36% to place from mid field at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Looks to run and even time and just needs the running room. Value runner of the race.
4 Great House May divert for the Cup, but if he does run he looks to settle at the rear and collect them all with ease. Lightening turn of foot, and Top jockey rating.
5 Fun Fact Must have made the trip for a reason, but not a great record this prep and yet to go well at HQ. Might find it tough late.
6 Emissary Awkward draw as he will try to go forward. Just a risk of being posted, and first time at Flemington might throw some spanners. Still, big Mike.
7 Mankayan Meech is 83.3% to place at this trip when mid field (from 6 races) on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT), and looks like she gets an easy sit from the draw. The only one with a chance to beat Great House if the pace is off.
8 Sous Les Nuages Doesn’t mind the trip, but from the draw and on past runs, will be a tough race to feature in.
9 King’s Charisma Jye in form, and one go at this trip for the 5YO for a win. Have to be careful with the imports, but this is a pretty big jump in class. Well weighted, who knows.

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