Would be nice to get the day off to a good start, with some dart board races later in the day. Quality race for the ladies over 1400m, and the data predicts that there are 4 stand out runners in this field. La Vina will surely bounce back after her last start down the straight, and Jamie Kah on Snickerdoodledandy will be a plus to get the most out of her. Don’ttelltheboss and Withfulthinging also post very strong numbers, and for mine it will come down to the race pattern in the data to predict the most advantaged. With a soft pace, which is likely to advantage those closer to the speed, sticking with La Vina and Witchfulthnking at the odds. Witchfulthinking might get the gun run up front, and the JAT (Jockey Analysis Tool) for Moloney to win is 16.9% which is a good number for the price of the runner. La Vina may be able to run her down, and the odds suggest she can. Expecting Don’ttelltheboss and Snickerdoodledandy to finish well, but might get too far back in the run.
Good Luck
Westy
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POSITION IN RUN MAP
RUNNER COMMENTRY
NO | NAME | COMMENT |
1 | Jay Jay D’Ar | Respect the stable and rider, and the numbers are strong for her to be in the race late. Just not sure if she will be zippy enough for a race like this. |
2 | La Vina | Had big wraps on this girl last start for no return, but not sure she was suited for the straight. Drawn well here for a better run, and Oliver is 40% to place on the JAT. Surely she is in the finish and should win. |
3 | Snickerdoodledandy | Have to respect the stable bring Motor Kah in. Probably drawn well to suit her shuffling back, and decent turn of foot to finish the race well. Good chance to win also. |
4 | Witchfulthinking | Last start winner and looks the winner. If there is no challenge for the lead, she has the turn of foot to be good for the field here. Moloney wins 16.9% of the time when leading on the JAT. Value. |
5 | Don’ttelltheboss | Jockey rates highly at this trip, and in recent races has been there abouts. Data suggests that this mare will finish very strongly also. |
6 | Mrs Beckham | Looks to get a mid field sit, but doesn’t seem to have a heap of late pace to trouble the leaders in this race. |
7 | Faithful Diamond | Drawn OK and very well weighted to hold a mid field spot. Looks to punch out an OK time, just needs to get an easy transit to be in the finish. |
8 | Over There | KPIs aren’t terrible, and Price riding well at the minute. Might might need a bit of luck to land in a good spot from the draw. But not without claims to run a drum. |
9 | Imperial Dawn | Decent turn of foot, but the data predicts that she will burn out early. |
10 | Make Mine Hennessy | Not without hope, with the data suggesting a strong finish. But might be pushed too hard early. |