Strong field quality for the 6th event over 1400m. No real pace in the race, with an obvious leader in Too Close The Sun. Looking at some runners that should land mid field with a strong turn of foot. Really like the look of the McEvoy runner in Zoist with McNeil onboard. Stable, jockey and barrier all rate well. Looks like a bit of a target race for him, and he has put in his best performances earlier this prep at the lower weights. Just expect him to really wind up late and come belting home. Bam’s On Fire the other runner that looks to get into a good position in transit, and has a lightening turn of foot against this field. Just always seem to see her running well at Flemington, and can’t see her out of the finish. Tavidance also looks strong but has to beat the gate, and Wetakemanhattan has some strong numbers at a huge price (albeit from almost two years ago..). Sticking with some SA form, putting Zoist on top from Bam’s On Fire.
Top 4
- Zoist
- Bam’s On Fire
- Tavidance
- Wetakemanhattan
Good Luck
Westy
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POSITION IN RUN MAP
RUNNER COMMENTRY
NO | NAME | COMMENT |
1 | Too Close The Sun | Looks the obvious leader, and can grind out a time. Gives up a lot of weight on this field, and the data says it will be tough for him late. But can pull off a result. |
2 | Ghodeleine | Top turn of foot in the race, but likely to be coming from pretty far back. Not sure if first up she can produce a barnstormer in this field. |
3 | Edison | Top rated rider in the race in Billy Egan, and the horse doesn’t seem to mind a bit of give in the track. Should find a place at the front of the field, and can grind out a time. Just might find it tough late with some of the strong finishers. |
4 | Tavidance | Top rated stable, but done no favours with the draw. Well weighted to finish off the race well, but probably gets shuffled back and will have it all to do. Would be a super effort first up. |
5 | Winning Partner | Similar race to his last start, but a deeper field here. That race didn’t rate too well across the day, but this guy can fly home. Good 2nd up record, might be able to pinch something late if the opportunity presents. |
6 | Bam’s On Fire | Drawn well and another runner that should be able to transit mid field. Strong turn of foot to be competitive late, and has performed at Flemington. Should be in the finish. |
7 | Biometric | Showed a bit more last start than he had before that. Although deep into his prep now, so that may have been a peak run. Still, decent turn of foot and does seem to go better at Flemington. Expect to see him run well. |
8 | Zoist | Top rating draw, top rating rider in McNeil and looks to have been building for this type of race. Well weighted, really looks like he can finish this race off well. Just needs to jump well and settle better than mid field, and he will be very hard to hold out. |
9 | Wetakemanhattan | Interesting numbers for this older horse, off a long spell. OK first up record, well weighted and goes OK at Flemington. Value. |
10 | Turn On The Charm | Import with first start, and no meaningful data for KPIs. Respect the stable though. |
11 | Air Defence | Should be prominent early, and does have a strong turn of foot. Just from the draw he might burn it early and find it tough late. Big class jump. |