Huge day at HQ. They come from far and wide on Derby day, and very difficult to cross over form lines. Lessons learned from previous weeks tell us: don’t ignore the obvious. A strong field quality rating and a fast pace predicted for the third event; this is likely to suit the swoopers down the straight six, with the leaders likely to fight for a preferred spot in the center of the track. Strong ratings for Osborne Bulls and a ranked outsider Lanciato, who should both make themselves known at the halfway mark. Don’t ignore the obvious. Oborne Bulls had an unbelievable run in the Everest, and irrespective of the better going in that race, this is a considerable drop in class. He has burnt us in the past, but don’t ignore the obvious on a day like today.

Osborne Bulls to win, Lanciato to place.

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The Kennedy mile has a high field quality rating, and there should be some pace early with the regular leaders likely to fight it out. Le Romain looks like he can run a strong race, and Hartnell always races so smartly. Don’t ignore the obvious. Darren Weir’s Land of Plenty dominated the Toorak at Caulfield, and by race eight we may be seeing them come from wider and further back. A strong SFR and ranked in the top 10 runners for the day, Darren Weir. Don’t ignore the obvious.

Land of Plenty to win.

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One particular runner catches our eye at Rosehill today. When you see a moderate tempo over a mile and a horse that flashes home late, all you then need is a decent SFR advantage to make a selection. Last race of the day and it’s the icing on the cake. Fierce impact comes back to a BM88 from the Toorak a few weeks back and is in the top 5 runners for the day at Rosehill. He has drawn well to do little work and should fly home to pack up the day with a win.

Fierce Impact to win.

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