Followed a few of these runners over the past few weeks, and 2500m at the Valley might suit some more than others. No knock on the fav Daqiansweet Junior, but coming from the rear in a slower race is a different proposition. Looking at two of the on pace runners that weren’t really suited in their last starts in Starcaster and In A Twinkling. Meech is 38% to win at this trip when leading on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT) on Starcaster, who looks the obvious leader in the race. Can’t see him getting too much challenge for the lead, and surely bounces back at the Valley after looking out of sorts at Flemington. In A Twinkling should be up there early also, and has the top turn of foot in the race. With room to run, he is a lot better chance and can run well. Some strong numbers for Good Idea also. The data predicts that Starcaster and In a Twinkling will be the strongest up front, and Daqiansweet Junior will be motoring home late. Sticking with Starcaster to be too strong up front.
Good Luck
Westy
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POSITION IN RUN MAP
RUNNER COMMENTRY
| NO | NAME | COMMENT |
| 1 | Good Idea | Looks to land midfield and rarely puts in a bad run. Stiff his last two starts, and the data says he will finish the race well. Expect to see him on the podium. |
| 2 | In A Twinkling | Had a big opinion of this guy last start to run a race at odds, but the race didn’t really pan out for him. Different story here though, and should get an advantage if he can stay on pace with Starcaster the likely leader. Has the top acceleration in the race, and just needs to handle the tight turning at the Valley to be a big chance in the race late. |
| 3 | Starcaster | Another one we had big raps on him last start when he just looked ruffled early. Looks the leader in this race, and good record at the Valley. Meech also 38% to win at this trip when leading on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Looks very strong. |
| 4 | Blenheim Palace | Might push forward from the draw and you might expect him to roll forward to try and control the race to better his chances. On past runs, he hasn’t looked strong enough. But if he makes an early run for it and makes it a staying contest, he has shown ability to stick it out. Will need a lot to go right. |
| 5 | Daqiansweet Junior | Can’t knock winning form, but just not entirely confident at coming from the rear stepping up in trip. Still, great turn of foot and Kah is rated the top rider in this race. In the finish surely, but might need the leaders to fade. |
| 6 | Our Mantra | Big jump in class and first time at the Valley. Has a reasonable turn of foot, but will have it all to do to stay in touch with this field throughout the race. |
| 7 | Guns Ablazing | Looks to get strung out a bit early, but well weighted to hang in there in this field. Big jump in class, and not a heap of data support for him. |