Using advanced algorithms we have created sophisticated ratings to provide insights like never before.
How do you calculate “Has barrier advantage” in SFR Reports?2019-01-27T13:58:35+11:00
Our SFR data calculates barrier advantage by reviewing accurate historical sectional timing data and converting the lengths lost for each horse that begins from each barrier. For example;
- Barrier 1 at Caulfield has average 1.9 lengths losing margin from the winner, and barrier 2 at Caulfield an average of 1.4 lengths from the winner, we would then rate barrier 2 higher than barrier 1 as on average it has a smaller losing margin from the winner.
- Our systems process this logic for all barriers at every track and distance, and then factor’s it into the SFR rating on the day.
Why do we do this? Our internal calculations over the years have shown us that this is a more accurate way to measure barrier advantage than strike rates. Further to this, it allows us to see which staring barriers have an advantage with assisting a horse hustling into position at the 800,600,400 and 200-meter points.
Does the SFR Rating factor in the state of the track, barriers, distance switches or breaks between starts?2019-01-27T13:58:28+11:00
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- CONDITION OF TRACK
- Only what was available 48 hours prior. E.g. if it is Thursday night, and the weather for Saturday suggests it will be dry then the variables are adjusted to use dry weather variables.
- BARRIERS:
- Yes. For more info, please visit the following link: Barrier Advantage Calculation FAQ
- DISTANCES: Yes. Our algorithms contain variables which factor in distances switches.
- BREAKS/SPELLS: Yes. Our algorithms consider the days between runs and spells.
- CONDITION OF TRACK
Why do the SFR ratings change from the original document to the race morning document, even in races when there are no scratchings?2019-01-27T13:56:18+11:00
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- We receive new data every few hours. Therefore, the algorithms re-run every night.
- We occasionally receive some late sectional data which may shift a single horse up or down. Therefore all the other horses SFR will get adjusted as the SFR is an in race rating.
- If we release a report early, the 10-11am version can be different from earlier versions due to
- We have received some data from the previous days rides from a jockey, which alters the jockey ratings. E.g. D Oliver might have had six rides the day before, that will get adjusted and re-calculated.
- There is a late rider change.
- A tactic change, the horse will be ridden more forward.
- We receive new data every few hours. Therefore, the algorithms re-run every night.